The Kansas State Wildcats will take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves at noon ET on Saturday at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Both teams have been solid against the spread dating back to last season, with Arkansas State covering in five of its last seven and Kansas State covering in six of its last eight. The Red Wolves are coming off a 37-24 loss to Memphis last week where they covered as 18.5-point underdogs while the Wildcats will be making their 2020 debut.
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Arkansas State vs Kansas State Live Stream
This is the third time in history that the programs have squared off with Kansas State holding a 2-0 series lead, but this is the first installment of the series since 1980. The Wildcats are favored by 10.5 points in the latest Kansas State vs. Arkansas State odds from William Hill, and the over-under is set at 54.5. Before entering any Arkansas State vs. Kansas State picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four years, the proprietary computer model has generated an stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It was an perfect 4-0 on top-rated picks in Week 1 of the 2020 college football season, including nailing Army (-3.5) with plenty of room to spare in its 42-0 blowout of MTSU. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Arkansas State vs Kansas State Live Streaming
Now, the model has set its sights on Kansas State vs. Arkansas State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Kansas State vs. Arkansas State:
Kansas State vs. Arkansas State spread: Kansas State -10.5
Kansas State vs. Arkansas State over-under: 54 points
Kansas State vs. Arkansas State money line: Kansas State -380, Arkansas State +310
Why Kansas State can cover
K-State was on the positive side of .500 (8-5) last season and is hoping to kick off an even more successful year. Skylar Thompson returns at quarterback having accounted for 2,720 total yards and 23 total touchdowns last season. Thompson was instrumental in an upset win over Oklahoma last season, completing 18-of-28 for 213 yards and rushing for 39 yards and four touchdowns in the 48-41 victory.
Kansas State’s success was often defined by the quality of its run defense. The Wildcats went 5-1 when holding opponents to under 150 yards rushing and Arkansas State struggled to run the football effectively against Memphis. They finished with 125 yards on the ground and averaged just 3.5 yards per carry.
Why Arkansas State can cover
Arkansas State was 8-5 last season and is coming off of an 37-24 loss against the Memphis Tigers this past Saturday. The Red Wolves moved the football effectively through the air in the loss, picking up 15 first downs via pass (25 total) and racking up 299 passing yards despite using both Logan Bonner and Layne Hatcher. Arkansas State averaged 312.1 yards per game through the air in 2019 and went 4-2 straight up in games where they had at least four passing touchdowns.
A pair of numbers to keep in mind before kickoff: The Wildcats were seventh best in the nation in passing touchdowns allowed, finishing the 2019 season giving up only 12. But the Red Wolves ranked eighth in the nation in passing touchdowns, closing the year with 37 overall. These opposing strengths should make for an exciting matchup.
How to make Kansas State vs. Arkansas State picks
The model has simulated Kansas State vs. Arkansas State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Kansas State vs. Arkansas State? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Arkansas State vs. Kansas State spread to jump on Saturday, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves head into their second game of the season on Saturday, as they make the trip to Manhattan, Kansas, to take on the Kansas State Wildcats. Head coach Blake Anderson will be hoping for a more positive outcome than the 37-24 loss his team suffered at Memphis in last Saturday’s opener.
Kansas State will no doubt be fired up for its first game and ready to get back to football after a tumultuous offseason that included a player boycott in response to a tweet from another student.
On the field, the Wildcats are once again expected to be a tough out, thanks to the winning culture head coach Chris Klieman brought and installed from North Dakota State last season. Getting off on the right foot is paramount in a season that almost didn’t happen, and any hiccups will be magnified.
Arkansas State at Kansas State
Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 12 at 12 p.m. ET
Spread: Kansas State -10.5
When Arkansas State Has the Ball
The Red Wolves went with two quarterbacks a week ago, and neither one had a banner day. That needs to change if they want to pull off the upset. Both Logan Bonner and Layne Hatcher were accurate on short throws, but explosive, game-breaking plays were few and far between. Ideally, one of the two wins the job outright and provides a bit of consistency to the offense, but that does not appear to be in the cards.
Outside of the two-quarterback system, the Red Wolves has a couple of skill players who can do damage if the Kansas State defense is caught sleeping. Running back Isaiah Azubuike is a threat to score every time he touches the ball, and wide receiver Johnathan Adams Jr. has a knack for being able to get open. Containing that duo will be of the utmost importance for Kansas State.
When Kansas State Has the Ball
The Wildcat offenses runs through dual-threat quarterback Skylar Thompson. The senior accounted for 23 total touchdowns last season — 11 of which were on the ground. The plan is for him to air it out a bit more in 2020 and turn the Kansas State offense into more of a passing threat.
When Thompson looks downfield, he’ll have a familiar target in Malik Knowles, the team’s top returning receiver. He’ll also have Northern Iowa grad transfer Briley Moore — one of the top receivers at the FCS level a season ago — at his disposal.